More on the emancipation of the young people in Spain

Another day was aiming that perhaps the crisis was evident in the emancipation of the young people in Spain (1). The truth is that the changes were minimal, therefore I did not dare to do incisive affirmations. My caution after the percentages of emancipated young people interpret also owes to the great thing that has changed the composition of the population into the ages that he was analyzing (20 to 34 years) in the last decade. The percentage of foreigners has grown significantly in these cohorts. As the percentage of "emancipated" between them is substantially higher that between the Spanish, the most probable thing is that the increase of the emancipation from the year 2000, aproximadamentzá, has been due partly, simply, to the fact that there is more foreign young people. The same way, if now the emancipation valuation has become stable or, even, seems to fall down, perhaps it depends also on that the number of foreign young people does not grow already so much.
With the files of microinformation of the EPA we can calculate the emancipation valuations for the Spanish young people and for the foreigners (those who have foreign nationality and those who have double nationality, then, to these effects, are very similar). For example, for the 4th trimester of 2009, the information is the following ones.
Spain (4th trimester of 2009). Emancipation valuation for sexes, ages and nationality
TotalEspañolesExtranjerosVarones
From 20 to 24 16,511,743,5De 25 to 29 45,635,586,2De 30 to 34 76,270,496,4Mujeres
From 20 to 24 26,017,763,7De 25 to 29 60,550,990,4De 30 to 34 84,480,796,6Fuente: proper making with information of the EPA.
For example, if 35,5 % of the Spanish males does not live with his parents, this percentage promotes 86,2 % in case of the foreigners. It does not have to surprise: almost all his parents remain in his fatherlands.
Then, the evolution of the global valuation of emancipation can be deceitful: it is possible that it was increasing, but only because the percentage of foreigners increased. Let's see.
I have calculated the emancipation valuations for Spanish and foreigners, for sexes, from the year 1999 to 2009, the period of calculation that allow the microinformation of the EPA, only available on the web page of the INE without need to request them. I have done it for the 4th trimester of every year, not to lose too much time. They have the result in two following graphs (click in them to extend them).
In the first one referred to the males, we see how the fall in the valuation of emancipation of the Spanish young people that is observed from 1987 (and that, in fact, begins probably at the end of the seventies), was even more pronounced in the stretches from 25 to 29 and 30 to 34 years of what the global information suggests (that include the foreigners). Nevertheless, also we can verify how the later recovery has not owed only to the foreigners' biggest presence, since the emancipation of the Spanish also has increased. Perhaps less.

The graph also suggests that the apparent current fall in the emancipation valuation in the stretch from 25 to 29 yes seems to apply the Spanish to himself, but it is not clear that from 20 to 24 could say the same to himself for the stretch.
In case of the women (following graph), the recent fall in the stretch from 20 to 24 does not seem to have to do with the Spaniards, and neither the fall is clear in the stretch from 25 to 29. Rather the information suggests a stagnation.

Finally, I would be even more cautious than another day. It will be necessary to wait for some trimesters (or years) more to notice clearly the effects of the crisis in the abandonment of the paternal nest of the Spanish young people.
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(1) Remember that I define as emancipated all that young people who do not turn out to be classified like "son of the person of reference" under the EPA.